Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.