Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.