Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.