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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
AS

Rotherham
1 - 2
Accrington

FT(HT: 0-1)
Charles (38'), Bishop (86')
Pritchard (62'), Rodgers (63'), Savin (90+4')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Rotherham United and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
36.36%24.95%38.69%
Both teams to score 57.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55%45.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22%67.78%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02%58.98%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79%57.21%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 36.36%
    Accrington Stanley 38.69%
    Draw 24.94%
Rotherham UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.22%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 36.36%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-1 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.69%

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