Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.