SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 36.6% | 26.65% | 36.74% |
| Both teams to score 52.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% | 74.54% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% | 27.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.49% | 63.5% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% | 27.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.74% |
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