Accrington
1 - 4
Oxford Utd

Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')

Data Analysis

Oxford bus stalls on way to ground due to anti-drink driving system

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Oxford United
34.05%	24.55%	41.4%

Both teams to score 58.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.03%

43.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.65%

66.35%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86%

25.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15%

59.85%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7%

21.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.75%

54.24%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 34.05%

Oxford United 41.4%

Draw 24.55%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 7.89% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.05%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 8.84% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.4%