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League One | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
AS

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Accrington

Longman (18')
Woodyard (27')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sykes (41'), Butcher (45')
Cassidy (62'), Pritchard (90+4')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
38.19%27.85%33.96%
Both teams to score 48.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.17%57.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45%78.55%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68%29.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71%65.29%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57%68.43%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 38.19%
    Accrington Stanley 33.95%
    Draw 27.85%
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.19%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.68%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.95%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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