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League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 19, 2020 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
CA

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Crewe

Longman (90')
Woodyard (31'), Reilly (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mandron (60'), Finney (90+1')
Jaaskelainen (83'), Beckles (87')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
33.18%27.06%39.76%
Both teams to score 50.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08%54.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8%76.2%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98%31.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68%67.32%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62%62.38%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 33.18%
    Crewe Alexandra 39.75%
    Draw 27.05%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.18%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.75%

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