Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
