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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 15, 2020 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
PA

Crewe
2 - 1
Plymouth

Kirk (22'), Dale (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jephcott (85')
Fornah (17')
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Plymouth Argyle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.67%24.05%22.28%
Both teams to score 51.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65%49.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6%71.4%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69%18.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6%49.4%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31%36.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53%73.47%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 53.66%
    Plymouth Argyle 22.28%
    Draw 24.04%
Crewe AlexandraDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.68%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.28%

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