Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.