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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
FT

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Fleetwood


Heneghan (41'), Alexander (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McKay (88')
Connolly (12'), Burns (77'), Camps (86')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Fleetwood Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawFleetwood Town
35.57%28.4%36.02%
Both teams to score 46.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27%59.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97%80.03%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12%31.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.33%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41%31.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32%68%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.57%
    Fleetwood Town 36.02%
    Draw 28.39%
AFC WimbledonDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.57%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 11.6%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.02%

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