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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
NT

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Northampton

Pigott (88')
Woodyard (74'), Palmer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNorthampton Town
34.11%27.67%38.21%
Both teams to score 48.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.86%57.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99%78.01%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14%64.86%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 34.11%
    Northampton Town 38.21%
    Draw 27.67%
AFC WimbledonDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 11.31%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.21%

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