Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
