Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
