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Thursday, March 28
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League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
The Valley
NT

Charlton
2 - 1
Northampton

Washington (64' pen., 85')
Morgan (44'), Watson (82'), Aneke (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jones (90+3')
Kioso (40'), Edmondson (70'), Horsfall (90+5')
Coverage of the League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawNorthampton Town
47.09%24.98%27.93%
Both teams to score 54.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46%48.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34%70.66%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.78%53.22%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54%31.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15%67.85%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 47.08%
    Northampton Town 27.93%
    Draw 24.98%
Charlton AthleticDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.93%

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