Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.61) 
