Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
