Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Port Vale |
48.45% ( -1.01) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( 1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.62% ( 0.88) | 56.38% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.6% ( 0.71) | 77.4% ( -0.7) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -0.08) | 23.31% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% ( -0.12) | 57.26% ( 0.12) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.96% ( 1.45) | 38.04% ( -1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.2% ( 1.37) | 74.8% ( -1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.05% |
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