We are yet to see how Barnsley will fare after last season's Wembley disappointment and the loss of their manager and several key players over the summer, but they should still have enough to get past Port Vale on home turf in their curtain-raiser at the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
-1.01) 
1.05) 
