Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.