Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.