Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.