Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.