Oxford City
2 - 1
Northampton

Roberts (12'), Ashby (68' pen.)
Owusu (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hoskins (7')
Martin (52'), Horsfall (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Oxford City and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 1-3 (6.82%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Northampton Town
23.2%	20.46%	56.35%

Both teams to score 65.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.14%

31.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.6%

53.4%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86%

26.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.79%

61.22%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59%

11.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83%

36.18%

Score Analysis

Oxford City 23.2%

Northampton Town 56.35%

Draw 20.46%

Oxford City	Draw	Northampton Town
2-1 @ 5.83% 1-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.83% 2-0 @ 2.68% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.2%	1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 2.98% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.46%	1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.48% 0-3 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 4.58% 1-4 @ 3.7% 0-4 @ 2.76% 2-4 @ 2.48% 1-5 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.2% 3-4 @ 1.11% 2-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.99% Total : 56.35%