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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
NT

Portsmouth
4 - 0
Northampton

Marquis (39', 47'), Curtis (50'), Harness (83')
Williams (57'), Harness (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bolger (43')
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawNorthampton Town
55.03%23.71%21.25%
Both teams to score 51.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85%49.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78%71.21%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27%17.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6%48.39%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42%37.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64%74.36%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 55.03%
    Northampton Town 21.25%
    Draw 23.71%
PortsmouthDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 55.03%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.25%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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