Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.
