SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 53.36% | 23.84% | 22.79% |
| Both teams to score 53.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.04% | 47.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% | 70.13% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% | 17.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.29% | 48.7% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% | 35.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.81% | 72.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.36% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.79% |
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