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CA
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
CU

Crewe
2 - 2
Cambridge

Finney (10'), Robertson (26')
Kashket (20'), Ramsay (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jaaskelainen (79' og.), May (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawCambridge United
39.55%26.48%33.98%
Both teams to score 52.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01%25.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99%61.01%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74%29.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78%65.22%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.54%
    Cambridge United 33.98%
    Draw 26.47%
Crewe AlexandraDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.98%

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