Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
