MK Dons
4 - 3
Northampton

Surman (13'), Grigg (34'), Jerome (83'), Brown (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Horsfall (2'), Watson (46'), Kioso (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Northampton Town
51.66%	24.76%	23.59%

Both teams to score 51.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06%

50.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19%

72.82%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29%

19.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.28%

51.72%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65%

36.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86%

73.14%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 51.65%

Northampton Town 23.59%

Draw 24.75%

MK Dons	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.45% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.65%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.59%