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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
NT

Swindon
2 - 1
Northampton

Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
42.22%26.31%31.47%
Both teams to score 52.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6%52.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92%74.08%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94%59.06%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1%30.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81%67.19%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 42.21%
    Northampton Town 31.47%
    Draw 26.31%
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.47%

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