Burton Albion have not lost to Cheltenham Town in any competition since November 2012 and have won five in this time, which will leave them confident of securing all three points.
Neither side have been prolific in front of goal this season, scoring 28 and 29 respectively, and we doubt this one will provide many goals either.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
