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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
HL

Crewe
1 - 2
Hull City

Porter (66' pen.)
Kirk (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Magennis (71' pen.), Wilks (90+1')
Honeyman (63'), Lewis-Potter (65'), Docherty (73')
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Hull City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawHull City
28.23%24.73%47.04%
Both teams to score 55.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74%47.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51%69.49%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2%66.81%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57%52.43%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 28.23%
    Hull City 47.04%
    Draw 24.72%
Crewe AlexandraDrawHull City
1-0 @ 7.3%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 4.33%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 5%
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.04%

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