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League One | Gameweek 34
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Sincil Bank Stadium
CA

Lincoln
3 - 0
Crewe

Rogers (21'), McGrandles (52'), Johnson (80')
Jackson (67'), Jones (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCrewe Alexandra
46.05%25.3%28.65%
Both teams to score 53.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54%49.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5%71.5%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47%54.52%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59%31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22%67.78%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.04%
    Crewe Alexandra 28.65%
    Draw 25.29%
Lincoln CityDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.75%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.65%

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