Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.