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League One | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2020 at 7pm UK
Wham Stadium
CA

Accrington
1 - 0
Crewe

Bishop (59')
Russell (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pickering (58'), Dale (62')
Coverage of the League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
43.95%25.59%30.46%
Both teams to score 53.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22%49.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21%71.79%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41%22.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81%56.19%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73%30.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55%66.45%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 43.95%
    Crewe Alexandra 30.46%
    Draw 25.58%
Accrington StanleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.17%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.46%


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