We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-2 Plymouth Argyle
Though a gulf of 25 points separates the sides before kickoff, Donny's breakthrough win and Plymouth's propensity to concede goals means that the hosts can take at least one point from a closely-contested affair.
Eager to get back on track in League One before their FA Cup glamour tie with Chelsea, the visitors may over-commit and leave spaces for the hosts to exploit.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
