Having 13 days in between their previous game and this one, we expect Sheffield Wednesday to struggle out of the gate, although playing on their home field should enable them to find their footing eventually, as they have conceded first in their last three league matches played at Hillsborough but avoided defeat each time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
