Fleetwood can close the gap between the clubs to just four points with a victory, and recent results suggest that they are capable of winning a fourth game from six Highbury Stadium outings since the start of December.
Though their dramatic cup exit will not derail their opponents, momentum could be stalled, and an impressive unbeaten run may come to an end on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.