We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Shrewsbury Town
As well as The Shrews performed last weekend when they were down a man, it is too early to tell if they have turned the corner based on one match, whereas Fleetwood have shown much more consistency since the appointment of Crainey.
The Fleetwood defence have improved tremendously in their last three matches, and with Shrewsbury missing Bloxham, that should allow The Cod Army to focus more on slowing down Udoh.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
