Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
