Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.