Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
46.53%	26.5%	26.97%

Both teams to score 49.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82%

55.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58%

76.42%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31%

23.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19%

57.8%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26%

35.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48%

72.51%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 46.53%

Fleetwood Town 26.97%

Draw 26.49%

Stoke City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.53%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.97%