Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.