Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.