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League One | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
FT

Swindon
0 - 1
Fleetwood


Hope (35'), Grounds (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madden (29')
Camps (57'), Connolly (82'), Duffy (90+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Fleetwood Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawFleetwood Town
30.62%26.1%43.28%
Both teams to score 52.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17%51.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41%73.59%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8%31.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46%67.54%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.95%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 30.62%
    Fleetwood Town 43.27%
    Draw 26.1%
Swindon TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.27%

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