Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.