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Wednesday, July 3
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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
BA

Gillingham
1 - 3
Burton Albion

McKenzie (3')
Tucker (25'), Dempsey (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hamer (50'), Brayford (79'), Smith (87')
Hamer (16')

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Burton Albion

Gillingham have struggled this season, and every game counts for them at the moment due to their position in the league table, adding pressure to this match. However, Burton Albion have showcased quality on a consistent basis, and that is something that should allow them to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawBurton Albion
25.82%26.84%47.34%
Both teams to score 47.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88%57.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%78%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22%37.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45%74.55%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53%58.47%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 25.82%
    Burton Albion 47.34%
    Draw 26.84%
GillinghamDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.42%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.82%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-3 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-4 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.34%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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