Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
