Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
