Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
