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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
S

Wigan
0 - 2
Sunderland


Edwards (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Broadhead (26'), O'Nien (54')
O'Nien (45+1'), Evans (81'), Embleton (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawSunderland
29.65%25.13%45.22%
Both teams to score 55.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8%48.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64%70.36%
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96%30.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84%66.17%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71%54.3%
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 29.65%
    Sunderland 45.22%
    Draw 25.13%
Wigan AthleticDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 7.71%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.65%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 4.74%
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 45.22%

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