Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
