Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.